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The Political Risk Brief
38 minutes | Nov 15, 2022
Welcome to the Jungle
America’s leading corporations appear poised for a dramatic escalation in engagement of Washington, D.C. Baron explores this emerging phenomenon by examining Amazon’s massive investment in the nation’s capital, which threatens to ignite an influence arms race among the Fortune 100.
33 minutes | Sep 12, 2022
Taiwan Syndrome: Confusion in Washington about the U.S.-China Relationship
With Taiwan now a focal point of U.S. foreign policy, Episode 13 explores how Washington has come to view China-Taiwan tension. The Baron team explores major blind-spots on the U.S. side, including the role of predictions, the value of ambiguity, and concepts of sovereignty.
50 minutes | Aug 12, 2022
Government Eats the World: The Private Sector’s Public Sector Future
The federal government is the world’s biggest customer. Public sector procurement increasingly drives private sector innovation and tips markets. In Episode 12, the Baron team details the shifting dynamics of U.S. government procurement and offers a practical guide for understanding the business and political implications of the private sector’s public sector future.
40 minutes | Jun 17, 2022
The Monoculture Rages
The increasing wealth and near-total enlistment of the nation’s capital into a partisan mission risks creating a permanent state of conflict between the federal government and half the electorate. In Episode 11, the Baron team discusses how such tension threatens to mire the U.S. public sector in debilitating dysfunction and create massive challenges for business leaders.
32 minutes | May 2, 2022
The Revolution is Real: The Populist Policy Takeover
Will American populism meaningfully change policy? In Episode 10, the Baron team attempts to determine the actual resonance of the reformist ideas now challenging the postwar consensus. To test the thesis of populist ascendancy, the firm applied Influencer Analytics to antitrust, quantitatively studying the specific populist movement that aspires to reshape competition law and enforcement. The result: a detailed understanding of the Super Influencers who dominate the debate and a demonstration of their capacity to impact entire business sectors.
39 minutes | Feb 22, 2022
Brace for Impact: America’s Trust Collapse
America’s defining quality – trust – appears in serious decline. If so, how will this redefinition of the nation’s civilizational character change business, politics, and the public square? In this episode, Baron investigates declining American trust and the implications.
39 minutes | Jan 17, 2022
China’s Businesses Go Global
Even as the geopolitical competition between the United States and China intensifies, China’s access to U.S. markets continues largely unconstrained. Moreover, China’s largest companies appear poised to contest sectors long dominated by U.S. firms. In this episode, Baron offers key insights into China’s accelerating expansion into international markets, the implications for U.S. business and political leaders, and the overall state of the U.S.-China Great Power contest.
52 minutes | Nov 1, 2021
There Will Be Blood: America’s Antitrust Reform Movement
Antitrust policy in the Unites States has been dominated for four decades by the consumer welfare standard. Now, a new generation of antitrust policy makers seeks to return to the doctrines of an earlier era and exact revenge for the alleged transgressions of neoliberalism. In this episode, Baron offers key insights into America’s dawning age of reinvigorated antitrust enforcement, with profound consequences for the nation’s largest businesses and emerging enterprises.
42 minutes | Aug 17, 2021
Secrets of Political Influence
The pursuit of influence consumes Washington, D.C. Companies and organizations spend billions to engage the thought leaders and decision makers who drive policy outcomes. Yet, determining the individuals who exert true and lasting influence often eludes even the most sophisticated political strategists. In this episode, Baron explores the challenge of reliably identifying and understanding influence.
42 minutes | May 21, 2021
Fight Club: Corporate America and Government Battle for Power
Corporations that assume policy-making powers invite the wrath of the ultimate monopolist: government. Baron details what business leaders and policy observers should expect in the coming years from Washington as politicians seek to constrain companies as unwelcome competitors for political power.
43 minutes | Mar 5, 2021
America's True Healthcare Crisis
Explore the true driver of America’s rising healthcare costs: plummeting population health. The confluence of America’s declining health, shifting political demography, and rising populism promise to increase political risk to the healthcare sector. Baron details what business leaders and policy observers should expect in the coming years from Washington.
50 minutes | Dec 14, 2020
Super Trends in the U.S.-China Relationship
Explore the six powerful drivers of the world’s largest bilateral economic relationship and the defining geopolitical rivalry of our era. Despite decades of extensive contacts with their counterparts in China, U.S. business and political leaders continue to struggle with the mysteries of Beijing’s behavior. This episode examines the nature, origins, and implications of U.S.-China competition. Read Baron's publication on the topic.
48 minutes | Nov 17, 2020
Winning in Washington
With the conclusion of America’s quadrennial election cycle, how do private-sector interests now compete and prevail in Washington, DC? Distilling more than 15 years of work with market leaders, the Baron team explores the approaches of the most effective enterprises to driving policy outcomes. The conversation pursues five questions central to winning in Washington: 1. What is “Washington”? 2. Who are the competitors? 3. What defines victory? 4. What are best practices for winning? 5. How is enduring success achieved?
45 minutes | Sep 1, 2020
The Vote that Changed the World
Twenty years ago this September 19, the U.S. Senate rendered a decision that continues to define American politics. The Senate’s vote to approve Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) with China ensured enactment, propelling the geopolitics of the twenty-first century and unleashing the populism that increasingly animates the American electorate. In this inaugural episode of the Political Risk Brief, Baron’s leadership analyzes the political forces that drove the 2000 legislative outcome, the damage inflicted on the elite policy consensus in the aftermath of PNTR with China, and the implications today for political and business leaders. Read Baron's publication on the topic.
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