77 minutes | Oct 4, 2020

Robert Cahaly: The Polls Are So Wrong, Here’s Why (#30)

Before you place any more political bets, check out pollster Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group’s explanation of why he beat his polling peers in the past two election cycles, how he nailed the Electoral College outcome in 2016 and why the polls are wrong again in 2020. Cahaly calls the swing states, two key Senate toss-ups and some Luckbox Longshot trades for less than a dime. TRENDS The Polls Are Wrong—Here’s Why There IS a Shy Trump Voter  Correcting for Social Desirability Bias Nate Silver and the $10,000 Challenge TRADES (8) Swinging in FL, NC, PA & WI GA & MI Senate Seats ECMoV Third-Party Smarty THE LUCKBOX LONGSHOT Hint: Three Coins in the Mountains Follow Robert Cahaly on Twitter @RobertCahaly and check out @Trafalgar_Group at thetrafalgargroup.org   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us… TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp
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