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JC Parets · Post U.S. Election Special | My Interview on Opto Sessions with Ed Gotham On this week’s podcast, I wanted to share a recent interview I did on Opto Sessions with Ed Gotham over in London England. Our chat took place on Thursday afternoon November 5, 2020, just a couple of days after an unresolved election. My main points revolved around focusing on price trends and worrying less about election results, at least as far as portfolio decisions are concerned. Ed came at me with a bunch of great questions. I appreciate how direct he was. I wish more interviews I did came at me with such relevant topics and ideas. I really enjoyed this one. Thanks Ed for a fun chat! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Technical Analysis Radio Interviews: Hedge Fund Manager, Mark Dow Mark Dow has been a guest on this podcast more times than anyone else for a good reason. Selfishly I always enjoy chatting with him. His perspective is fascinating to me because he does such brilliant job of combining price behavior with sentiment analysis and the global macro intermarket backdrop. Mark worked for the U.S. Treasury Department in charge of Emerging Markets in the early 90s before ultimately running money for a Global Macro Hedge Fund in New York City. So he has a lot of opinions on economics and politics, but he’s great at not letting those things get in the way of his price behavior and sentiment analysis. He’s figured out how to separate them but also use his expertise to his advantage. That’s not any task. I loved this conversation because we talked about how institutional investors are positioned coming into the U.S. election, how currencies and interest rates around the world are being affected, and in turn how they are affecting other asset classes. I ask him about Bitcoin and Gold and which one will win that battle. Of course, the US Dollar and Emerging Markets were part of the discussion (we can’t help ourselves whenever we get together), but we talk about how EM is now being driven by Technology and no longer the Natural Resources of the past. Make sure you’re following @mark_dow on Twitter. This was fun. Give it a listen! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · The Money Game: Experiences Over Things (EP.17) In this episode of The Money Game, Phil asks about what’s most important to me. Is it collecting material things, or enjoying experiences with family and friends? For me, it’s quite obvious after looking back that I’ve enjoyed my experiences traveling throughout Asia and Europe with my wife. I remember my Dad let me skip school when I was 11 years old to go to Marlins Opening Day in 1993 (My mom was thrilled about that). I have a nice watch that I never wear. I haven’t bought a car since 1997. And I have little interest in wearing that nice watch, or yet alone buying another one. I think cars are cool, but I’m still in no rush to go get one. Let’s go out for sushi. How about a hike? College football game perhaps? Let’s throw a charity event and raise a ton of money to help people. Want to come to Edison, NJ for Indian food? Go wine tasting in Sonoma Valley? Hit the beaches in Miami or the Caribbean? I’d rather do all that stuff than collect more “things”. But I hadn’t really thought of it that way until I really started to think back at my life and what stood out the most? Is it the things or the experiences? For me, it’s quite obviously the latter. Just something to think about. There are no right or wrong answers. I think it’s about figuring out what’s best for you. Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Technical Analysis & Financial Media: A Conversation w/ Frances Horodelski In this episode I get to chat with one of my all-time favorite journalists, Frances Horodelski. She was one of the first people to interview me on TV when I was still in my 20s and I don’t forget that. She believed in me early on. That’s really cool. We’ve continued to do interviews together over the years but today I flip the script and ask HER the tough questions. We discuss the role of Technical Analysis in both markets and financial media. As a former Wall Street analyst herself, she brings unique perspective and experience to traditional media. This was really informative and a lot of fun! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · The Sooner We Can Find Out We’re Wrong The Better | My Interview on The Meb Faber Show Earlier this month Meb Faber invited me on to his podcast. I really enjoy doing these, especially when they’re a bit outside of the Technical community. While Meb is definitely “one of us”, in terms of how he views markets, his audience includes people who might not be as informed about technical analysis and its benefits. This is where I can try my best to do my part to spread the good word. In this conversation we talked about all sort of things from skiing, to markets, to life. This was a lot of fun. Enjoy! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Happy Hour w/ Traders: The Breadth Debate feat. Thrasher, Strazza, Hurley & Delwiche This podcast episode comes directly from our Youtube Channel. On this Happy Hour with Traders Video, I brought together some of the best minds when it comes to stock market breadth. You see all the breadth charts on twitter and you always hear debate about whether market breadth is weakening or improving. I think this round table discussion clears up a lot of misconceptions about the subject. I think it also gave each of us new ideas about how to approach the market from a weight-of-the-evidence perspective. I know I definitely got some new ideas that I want to start to do some more work on. This is why we have these conversions. I’m fortunate to have really smart friends around the world that all view markets in their own unique ways. So I’m going to try my best to show them off so you can learn from them too! Here’s the latest Happy Hour with special guests Andrew Thrasher, Willie Delwiche, Mike Hurley and Steve Strazza. Enjoy! Click here return to the episode page

This week I was a guest on the Confessions of a Market Maker Podcast. This was a really fun discussion about Dow Theory, Perma-Bears, Fibonacci & optimal wine/food pairings. I think it will give you a chance to get to me a little more. Life isn’t just about charts and markets! Check it out! Click here return to the episode page

Today we have a special episode of the podcast. I think it’s important to take a step back from the markets and Technical Analysis sometimes, and talk about something that is universal to us all. For this episode I invited Morgan Housel to come and talk about the importance of writing. For those of you who have been following my work for a long time, you often hear me talk about the personal benefits of putting my ideas down on paper. Sure, people all over the world get insight into what our firm is thinking, they get steady idea flow from my blog, and in some lucky cases, people might even learn something. But the truth is, my writing is an incredibly selfish endeavor. It forces me to think through the important concepts. And as Morgan talks about in this episode, the inability to express my thoughts in written form probably means my idea is stupid to begin with. The easier it is to write about, the better it will usually be received by our audience. Morgan Housel is definitely one of my favorite financial writers in the world today. I know a lot of smart people who would agree with that. Whether you’re a market participant or not, but especially if you are, I think writing consistently is one of the most valuable things you can do. Even if you don’t share it with the public, and just keep it to yourself, I encourage you to get into the habit of writing. Think about it, people were keeping a journal and writing their ideas down way before blogs existed. There’s a good reason for that. On the flip side, when it comes to reading, Morgan also had a few thoughts he wanted to share with us. He is very much against the Trophy Reading and ripping through an ungodly number of books just for the sport of it. He’s gone down that rabbit hole before and learned that he’s better off reading just 1 book a month, taking his time, talking to smart people about it, and really digesting it. He made some really good points about this. This was a really fun episode and one that I think is a great compliment to a lot of the other conversations we’ve been having with smart folks about the markets. Enjoy! Click here return to the episode page

Jeff Macke is the guy I turn to whenever I have questions about the Consumer. Anything retail, restaurants, internet sales, he’s the one we want to listen to. Jeff and I have known each other for many years and are friends with a lot of the same people. On my Youtube Channel, you can find an old clip of him and I talking about Gold & Silver back in January 4, 2012. In this episode we talk about the restaurant stocks, pharmacies, which areas he wants to avoid and which ones he wants to own. He says the pair trade of the decade could very well be: Long Shaquille O’neil (Papa Johns $PZZA) and Short Kanye West (The Gap $GPS). This was a really fun conversation. I picked up some good ideas and had a few laughs. I hope you enjoy! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Season 3 EP 24: Katie Stockton, Founder & Managing Partner, Fairlead Strategies I’m so excited to have Katie Stockton on the podcast. Katie is someone whose work I’ve followed my entire career. Even early on, she was there talking about oscillators and price behavior. She’s certainly on the list of Technicians who have influenced my work over the years. Back in the day she worked with Mike Hurley, another friend of the podcast and our featured guest in mid-March. After spending most of her career on the sell side, Katie has adapted to the changes in traditional wall street research and has now gone independent, recently founding Fairlead Strategies. This was a fun conversation that I really enjoyed. Prior to recording, I told her to just pretend we’re at a wine bar with our laptops. What would that sound like? This is that! Click here return to the episode page

In this episode of the Money Game, Phil and I talk about how Technical Analysts have an advantage in the current global environment. The fact that we’re accustomed to focus on price behavior, and therefore tune out all the noise, we already have those good habits in place for a world filled with more noise than ever. I see people daily poisoning themselves with massive doses of news consumption, particularly horrible things happening all over the world. This conversation brings up some great points about taking care of your business, your family, your health and making sure that the things you can control are in order. If you don’t have your own house in order, you can’t help others. So if you really want to do right by the world, take care of yourself first, and then you will have the ability to help those in need.  This was a really cool comparison Phil is making about the advantages technicians have in the current world. Click here return to the episode page

Jordan Kotick is one of the key people that early in my career inspired me to be more intermarket oriented. They would ask Jordan about the S&P500 and he would go into a tangent about bonds. They would ask him about Emerging Markets and he’d whip out, what he refers to as, “Chinese Dow Theory”. For over a decade, Jordan was the Managing Director of Macro Strategy at Barclays and then Managing Director of Cross Asset Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. He is the first person to have ever been president of both the CMT Association (then called the MTA), and the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA). In this podcast episode we talk about some of the great lessons Jordan learned over the years and what sorts of markets and charts investors should be paying attention to in the current environment. This was a really fun conversation and was great to catch up! Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Season 3 EP 22: Jeff deGraaf, Founder of Renaissance Macro Research Jeff deGraaf is one of those analysts who influenced me very early on. Something I’ve always admired about him is how much emphasis he puts on first identifying what type of market environment we’re in, before then giving more or less weight to different tools and indicators. This is one of those important steps that I think gets forgotten quite often when you see investors trying to always incorporate a certain strategy or approach regardless of the environment. In this episode, Jeff compares this stock market crash, and subsequent recovery, to others in the past including 1987. He does a nice job of incorporating what is currently taking place in Bonds and Gold into his analysis for stocks. I think there are a lot of great lessons in this conversation with, who I believe, is one of the best Technical Analysts in the world today. Click here return to the episode page

JC Parets · Season 3 EP 21: Chris Ciovacco, Chief Investment Strategist, Ciovacco Capital Management Chris Ciovacco is someone whose work I’ve followed for many years. His approach to markets is similar to mine, in that he incorporates a weight-of-the-evidence technical strategy. His open-mindedness and ability to set up multiple outcomes to prepare for, is one to be admired. In this episode, Chris walks through his thought process when analyzing the current environment. He makes a great comparison to early 2009 and asks whether we’re in January ’09, just before another severe decline in stocks, or in May, on the way up after already bottoming. This is a great episode that I hope makes you think differently and inspires you to keep an open mind and come up with your own possible scenarios for the coming months and quarters. This was a fun one! Make sure to follow Chris Ciovacco on Twitter and at Ciovacco Capital Management Click here return to the episode page

Adam Koos is a portfolio manager who uses Technical Analysis to make decisions for the clients he advises. In times like these, Financial Advisors all over the world are getting asked the hard questions. In this episode, Adam talks about how Technical Analysis has helped both his decision making and the communication with the families he works for. It’s really cool to see these tools helping advisors everywhere, and especially a friend who I speak to regularly about markets and other common interests, like sports and wine. Adam and I were coincidentally both featured in a Wall Street Journal article this week where we shared some of our favorite tools to help us in the current environment. He is the Founder of Libertas Wealth Management Group, and I loved hearing his stories about how his career first started 20 years ago and the path that led him to where he is today. We also hear his thoughts on the current market environment and the kinds of things we should be thinking about. I really enjoyed this episode. He brings up some great points that hopefully opens up a larger dialogue. Click here return to the episode page

A couple of weekends ago, I had the privilege of hosting Chart Summit 2020, an online virtual Technical Analysis conference. We had over 30 presentations, 10,000 attendees and raised a ton of money to help the people who need it most right now. A great part about the whole thing is, not only all the fun we had, but how much we all learned! I’m so excited about it that we decided to turn my conversation with Jay Woods into a podcast episode, so you can listen to it on the go. Jay is a good friend and currently a Floor Governor of the New York Stock Exchange. It’s one of the most beautiful buildings in the world and it represents so much. Jay is an ambassador for everything it stands for. In this conversation, Jay walks us though exactly what’s going on in the minds of all the traders and market makers that are used to spending their days on the floor of the exchange. These are some interesting times. I couldn’t think of a better momentum to bring Jay into the conversation. This was a great chat that I wanted to make sure to share with all of you. I hope you enjoy our discussion, and make sure to check out all the presentations at ChartSummit.com!

The videos of all the presentations are now up and you can go to ChartSummit.com and stream them for FREE! As we always like to do here after Chart Summit, Steve Strazza and I sat down to discuss what we just witnessed. This was one of the most amazing list of speakers I’ve ever seen at a Financial Conference. I can’t even believe we were able to pull this off! Plus, we raised over $50,000 in donations, on the first day alone, to help fight coronavirus. Thank you to everyone who attended and donated! Also, big shoutout to Traders4ACause for helping us choose the organizations we’re donating to and collecting all the money. We could not have done this without you! In this episode, we talk about the best presentations, the best charts and the common themes among the presenters. I think it always adds value to think back at what was discussed and reiterate a few of the important points that were being made by the best in the business. From Brian Shannon, Ari Wald, Craig Johnson, Gina Martin Adams, Andrew Thrasher, Frank Cappelleri, Paul Ciana, the list goes on and on….We discussed the current environment for the US and Global Stocks, Interest rates around the world, Gold and other metals, US Dollar and other currencies around the globe. There was so much value. This was my favorite Financial Conference of all time. Easily. I hope you enjoy our discussion, and make sure to check out all the presentations at ChartSummit.com!

Mike Hurley has been an inspiration to me for many years. When it comes to market breadth, this is the guy. He’ll tell you he learned it from his predecessors and how he’s standing on the shoulders of giants and all those things he discusses in this episode, but for me personally, he’s been a great influence for sure. Many of you know how seriously I take my breadth work and how valuable it has been to so many of us for many years. It’s people like Mike and others who have helped my process evolve to where it is today. This was a really fun podcast for me because the topic of market breadth and internals is so near and dear to my heart. In this podcast episode, Mike and I talk about history and how different turning points in the stock market have been led by breadth deterioration (at tops) and breadth improvement (at bottoms). We also discuss 2020 so far and how breadth was deteriorating well before the S&P500 and Dow hit their ultimate highs. Once again, it was breadth that got us out of the way of trouble this cycle. Give this one a listen. I think it’s one of those episodes that can live for a lifetime and help people many years (or decades) into the future. Click here return to the episode page

Larry McDonald is the guy I turn to when I want to talk about the Bond Market. He always has something insightful about what’s happening that I’m probably not seeing. We’ve become friends over the years but I originally got to know who Larry was by reading his book, Colossal Failure of Common Sense. This is a book about the collapse of Lehman Brothers being told by a bond trader inside the firm. I encourage you to pick it up and give it a read. It will give you good insight as to what exactly was taking place at the time. In this podcast Larry tells us a good story about the day his team had the most profitable day in the history of the bond desk at Lehman and Dick Fuld didn’t even bother to come down and say hi. The market today is different than it was in 2019. What’s going on in the bond market is playing a huge role. I couldn’t think of a better time that the present to bring in my friend Larry McDonald to discuss what we’re seeing out there in the markets. This is always a lot of fun talking to one of my favorites! Click here return to the episode page

Jeff Hirsch is the Author of the Annual Stock Trader’s Almanac. He, and before that his father Yale Hirsch, has been publishing the must-read almanac every year since 1967. This year is the 53rd edition of the Almanac and a lot of the smartest traders I know keep the most recent copy on their desk. I personally have issues I’ve kept going back decades. When it comes to Seasonality, whether it’s the 1-year cycle, Presidential cycle, or even intra-month and intra-week cycles, Jeff is the person I turn to first. The month of January brings along a ton of information we can use to help us make decisions in the stock market the rest of the year. The track record is pretty spectacular, as we discuss in this episode. Today, Jeff uses these seasonal trends to help him in his role as Chief Strategist at Probabilities Fund Management. In this episode of the podcast we discuss what the down January might mean for the rest of this year, how markets tend to behave on Election Years and why Seasonal trends are so important to recognize. Charts and Graphs for this Episode are all available inside the 2020 Stock Trader’s Almanac