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Patrick Boyle On Finance

92 Episodes

15 minutes | May 20, 2022
The Coming Food Catastrophe
The widely accepted idea of a cost-of-living crisis does not begin to capture the gravity of what may lie ahead according to António Guterres, the UN secretary general.  He warned earlier this week that the coming months threaten “the spectre of a global food shortage” that could last for years. The high cost of staple foods has already raised the number of people who cannot be sure of getting enough to eat by 440m, to 1.6bn. Nearly 250m are on the brink of famine.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Support the show
22 minutes | May 13, 2022
Stablecoins Are Unstable!
The $1.3tn cryptocurrency industry was on Thursday hit by one of its toughest challenges when stablecoin Tether — a critical cog in the market — failed to maintain its link with the US dollar. The company refuses to provide details on the Treasury holdings that back the stablecoin claiming their fear of revealing the ‘secret sauce.’Tether tumbled as low as 95.11 cents yesterday, far below the $1 peg that it seeks to maintain. Its price later recovered, but the slip-up, days after the failure of smaller algorithmic stablecoin rival TerraUSD, (and its paired coin Luna) sent bitcoin — the world’s biggest digital asset — sinking to its lowest level since late 2020.Ratings group Fitch said the troubles at Tether and TerraUSD “highlight the fragile nature of private stablecoins, and will accelerate calls for regulation”.In todays video we look at how algorithmic stablecoins like Terra work, we discuss their importance in DeFi and smart contracts.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show
19 minutes | May 7, 2022
The Economic Effects of China's Zero Covid Policy
Xi Jinping has reaffirmed his commitment to China’s controversial zero-Covid strategy, warning against “any slackening” in the effort and vowing to crack down on criticism of the policy despite signs of damage to the economy.“Our prevention and control policies can withstand the test of history; our measures are scientific and effective. We have won the battle to defend Wuhan, we can also win the battle to defend Shanghai,” the statement said.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show
18 minutes | Apr 30, 2022
Bill Hwang arrested on fraud charges!
Bill Hwang, founder of Archegos Capital Management, has been arrested by US authorities and charged with racketeering, fraud and market manipulation.The indictment accuses Hwang and former chief financial officer Patrick Halligan, of using Archegos as an “instrument of market manipulation and fraud” with “far-reaching consequences for other participants in the United States securities markets”.The case marks the first criminal charges against Hwang, one of the so-called Tiger Cub veterans of Julian Robertson’s Tiger Management fund whose little-known investment vehicle rattled some of Wall Street’s biggest financial institutions when it imploded a year ago.Archegos’s collapse caused billions of dollars of losses for investment banks including Credit Suisse, UBS, Nomura and Morgan Stanley after it defaulted on margin calls, with more than $100bn wiped from the valuations of nearly a dozen companies as Archegos’s positions were unwound.The group used borrowed money from banks such as Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse to amass multibillion-dollar positions in US-listed companies such as ViacomCBS — now known as Paramount — and online retailers Shopify and Farfetch. By using derivatives known as Total Return Swaps, where the bank it traded with bought or sold stocks on Archegos’s behalf, the firm left no visible footprint of its activity to the investing public.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
28 minutes | Apr 22, 2022
Elon Musk- Corporate Raider - Will He Actually Buy Twitter?
Elon Musk - The world’s richest man has allegedly hired the investment bank Morgan Stanley and is trying to gather financing, so he can buy Twitter for $43 billion.According to The New York Times, Musk is evaluating various packages of debt and a loan against his shares of Tesla. Apollo Global Management, an alternative asset manager, is among the parties considering offering debt financing. The equity he needs is likely to be sizable.Last week, Elon Musk, made an unsolicited offer for the social media company, saying that he wanted to take it private and that he wanted people to be able to speak more freely on the service. But his offer was regarded skeptically by Wall Street because he did not include details about how he would come up with the money for the deal. It is unclear if Elon Musk’s cash raising efforts will be successful.While Twitter’s board has not rejected Mr. Musk’s offer, it responded days later with a defensive tactic known as a “poison pill.” A poison pill would effectively prevent Mr. Musk from owning more than 15 percent of Twitter’s shares. Musk has been building his stake in Twitter since January and owns more than 9 percent of the company, making him at one point its single-biggest individual shareholder.In today's video we look at how serious his bid is, the likelihood that he will succeed in buying Twitter, How the financing might work, and how poison pills work in blocking corporate raiders.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
22 minutes | Apr 11, 2022
The Weaponization Of The Dollar
The sanctions on Russia’s central bank use the reserve currency status of the US dollar to punish an American adversary.  Will the US dollar lose its exorbitant privilege?  What currency might replace the US Dollar as a reserve currency?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
12 minutes | Apr 2, 2022
Russian Oil Priced In Roubles
Vladimir Putin has demanded payment in roubles for Russian gas sold to “unfriendly” countries, setting a deadline of 31 March for the transition.It is not clear whether he plans to tear up existing contracts that set the price in euros or dollars, but Germany, which relies on Russia for 40% of its gas supplies, is not taking any chances, warning large industrial gas users that a standoff is possible and rationing is one possible outcome.In todays video we ask why payment for Russian exports in rubles has become a major issue for the Kremlin, and whether Putin could extend the plan to include exports of oil, grain, fertilizers, coal, metals and other key commodities.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
14 minutes | Mar 26, 2022
Planes Trapped In Russia!
As the clock runs down to Monday's sanctions deadline for Russian airlines to hand back more than 450 leased planes worth almost $10 billion, foreign lessors are fast losing hope that they will get their planes back. As the owners rushed to repossess the planes, the Kremlin moved quickly to block this by passing a law allowing foreign airplanes to be re-registered in Russia, effectively nationalizing them.Aviation was an early business casualty of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, as the West and Russia imposed tit-for-tat airspace bans. Now, lessors face big write-downs or a long insurance battle as the March 28 deadline looms for terminating plane leases under European Union sanctions.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
21 minutes | Mar 19, 2022
The Nickel Trading Catastrophe on the LME
In markets, there are few principles considered more important by traders than the idea that when a commitment to a deal is made, it should stand come what may. So, there was uproar in the commodities market last week over the London Metal Exchange’s decision to bring the global nickel market to a halt and cancel futures trades because of a “short squeeze” on a Chinese tycoon facing potential billions of dollars of losses.In one of the most controversial moments in its 145-year history, the LME cancelled an entire days’ worth of trades after a near doubling of the price of nickel, a metal used in stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries.The rally, partially sparked off by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, had left Xiang Guangda, the tycoon behind Tsingshan Holding, China’s leading stainless steel and nickel manufacturing group, unable to meet demands for extra cash on a huge bearish bet that backfired. The LME believes that if had it forced the settlement of the trades, it would have bankrupted some of its smaller members and its decision was “in the interests of the market as a whole”.In today’s video we look at what happened in the nickel market and how it is working itself out.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance - YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
19 minutes | Mar 12, 2022
What Happens To Sanctioned Oligarchs Assets?
The UK announced new sanctions yesterday relating to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, targeting seven oligarchs with links to Vladimir Putin. Among them is Roman Abramovich, the owner of Chelsea FC.In today's video we try to answer three questions: Who owns Chelsea FC right now? What happens with the other Russian assets being seized around the world?  And, what happens with Russian financial assets like stocks and bonds that westerners own that have stopped trading due to the new sanctions?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
14 minutes | Mar 5, 2022
Will The West Ban Russian Oil Imports?
In Today’s podcast we discuss if the west can place an embargo on Russian energy exports?Western leaders have threatened Vladimir Putin with sweeping sanctions over his invasion of Ukraine but, they have been clear that they would avoid disrupting energy supplies.Hitting energy exports is no longer as due to the brutality of Putin’s war and the idea of targeting oil and gas exports is no longer off the table — even if it damages western economies in the process.Canada - a tiny buyer of Russian energy, has blocked crude imports and in the US, President Joe Biden is under mounting pressure from a diverse coalition of Republicans and Democrats, to ban Russian oil and gas.How would this affect the global oil markets or impact inflation in the west?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
18 minutes | Feb 27, 2022
The Economic Effects of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine risks disrupting the export of critical commodities and rupturing supply chains. Industries from food to cars and fertilizer makers to aircraft manufacturers will be hit by disruption to exports.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
8 minutes | Feb 26, 2022
What Does Being Cut Off From SWIFT Mean For Russia?
The US President said on Thursday that the United States and Europe were united in their efforts to confront Russian aggression toward Ukraine with aggressive sanctions. However, there was one area where he suggested that there was some disagreement: SWIFT.The  messaging service, called the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, connects more than 11,000 financial institutions around the world. It is viewed as a potential nuclear option in the world of sanctions because, if Russia was kicked off SWIFT, the nation would essentially be severed from much of the global financial system.But doing so would not be simple and could come with its own set of complications for countries outside Russia.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
16 minutes | Feb 13, 2022
Meet Razzlekhan - 'The Crocodile of Wall Street'
A married couple has been arrested and charged with laundering billions in Bitcoin stolen during the 2016 Bitfinex hack, as the Justice Department announced its largest financial seizure ever. Ilya 'Dutch' Lichtenstein, and his wife, Heather Rhiannon Morgan aka Razzlekhan or The Crocodile of Wall Street, were arrested on Tuesday in Manhattan on federal charges of conspiracy to commit money laundering and conspiracy to defraud the United States.Federal law enforcement officials said they recovered roughly $3.6 billon in cryptocurrency linked to the hack of Bitfinex, a virtual currency exchange whose systems were breached nearly six years ago.  Dutchy & The Croc live on Wall Street in lower Manhattan. He is a citizen of both Russia and the United States and the co-founder of an online marketing firm.Morgan, a rapper and former Forbes contributor, describes herself as 'an expert in persuasion, social engineering, and game theory' and in one of her songs, declared herself the 'Crocodile of Wall Street.'Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
13 minutes | Feb 7, 2022
DOJ Launches Criminal Investigation Into Short Selling!
US criminal authorities are gathering information on contacts among dozens of short selling hedge funds and research outfits as they investigate possible trading abuses by hedge funds.  This comes after complaints from GameStop and AMC Shareholders.The Department of Justice has sent subpoenas asking for information about a list of more than two dozen firms to a smaller group of market participants. Among other things, they are asking for calendar information and communications.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle on YouTube Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
16 minutes | Jan 27, 2022
The Consequences of China's Slowdown
China’s Economy Is Slowing Which Could Have Big Consequences for the World.Economic output grew four percent in the last quarter, a slowdown from the previous quarter. Growth faltered as home buyers and consumers became more cautious. Construction and property sales have slumped, as the country grapples with power shortages, Covid-related restrictions, a crackdown on a range of companies, and debt troubles in its property sector. Some of those pressures could ease, but China’s economy may be on the path to slowing down for a while still—and that could have global ramifications.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
22 minutes | Jan 19, 2022
Private Money and Cryptocurrencies
In the United States, the government is not the only entity legally allowed to issue money. Private citizens and businesses are allowed to do so, too, and throughout U.S. history, they have done this. This type of money is referred to as private money, and it had mostly disappeared from circulation until Bitcoin was created in 2009. Today more than eight thousand cryptocurrencies exist, and more are appearing every day.Why were private currencies so popular, and why are they coming back today?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
20 minutes | Jan 13, 2022
Pandemic Real Estate Bubble?
During the pandemic, house prices have increased even faster than they did in the period leading up to the 2007 financial crisis, stoking concern that another dangerous housing bubble is developing. In this week's podcast we compare the current real estate market to the bubble years before the global financial crisis of 2007-2008Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
15 minutes | Jan 6, 2022
Elizabeth Holmes Conviction – Is this a Golden Era of Fraud?
On Monday we saw the fraud conviction of Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes. This conviction we are told in the press has split Silicon Valley. Supporters worry that the spirit of entrepreneurship has been put in ‘jeopardy’ while others say she overstepped boundaries.Tim Draper, a venture capitalist and family friend of Holmes who provided early funding to Theranos, told the New York Times that the outcome made him “concerned that the spirit of entrepreneurship in America is in jeopardy”. He went on to say “I still believe in what she was trying to do, If this scrutiny happened to every entrepreneur as they tried to make this world a better place, we would have no automobile, no smartphone, no antibiotics and no automation, and our world would be less for it.”We have more corporate fraud trials in the pipeline.  Former Nikola CEO Trevor Milton is scheduled to go on trial for criminal fraud shortly. He has pled not guilty to lying to investors about the electric truck company’s technology. Nikola Motors went public through a SPAC merger under Milton’s leadership.Peter Thiel Book - Zero To One: https://amzn.to/3F3KtGNPatrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoylePatrick Boyle On Finance - YouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
25 minutes | Jan 1, 2022
2021 The Financial Year in Review
Let’s look back at the big financial events of 2021 and the lessons we learned. 2021 was an exciting year in markets, we had meme stocks, SPACs, hedge fund blow ups and the mainstreaming of crypto.  The stock market went from strength to strength this year. The year started out with the short squeezes in GameStop and then AMC.As global economies bounced back from the pandemic, supply chains buckled due to shortages either of goods or people to deliver them. The squeeze on the labor market pushed up wages, and the press was filled with tales of the great resignation. We saw soaring oil and commodities prices and the collapse of Chinese property giant Evergrande but none of this could derail investor exuberance. Stock markets and house prices took off in 2021. In the world of geopolitics, the first big story of the year was Brexit - Britain’s withdrawal from the EU. On top of this, the tensions between the United States and China was a big theme and may remain so in 2022. As the year comes to an end, Russia’s intentions toward Ukraine are raising concerns worldwide.2021 was a big year for IPO’s, 1058 companies went public over the course of the year. As crypto went mainstream, we saw every social media influencer launch their own coin or NFT project.  So, let’s look back at some of the biggest stories of the year.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:  https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance:  https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceVisit our website: www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyleYouTube Channel Support the show (https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance)
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