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Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
60 minutes | 17 hours ago
Elliott Wave's Gilburt sees market gaining nearly 50 percent by 2023
Avi Gilburt, editor of the Elliott Wave Trader, says that he sees the Standard and Poor's 500 having a summer rally -- after a small near-term pullback -- to finish the year at 4,600 and maybe slightly higher, but his long-term outlook is that the index will reach 6,000 by 2023. Also on the show, Steve Wendel, head of behavioral research at Morningstar, discusses new research on how the pandemic is affecting Americans' financial security, Matt Schulz of LendingTree talks about how fewer consumers were stashing their cash in March and whether the savings trends are changing as the economy reopens, and Hilary Kramer -- who oversees seven different investment newsletter -- returns to the Market Call for the first time in over two years to talk about stocks.
59 minutes | 2 days ago
In post-pandemic world, investors need more commodities, alternatives and more
Tracie McMillion, head of global asset allocation strategy for the Wells Fargo Investment Institute, says that investors preparing for a post-pandemic stock market and economy will want to broaden their exposure to different equity asset classes and sectors, will need to be picky about fixed-income investments, but will also want to build up their holdings in commodities and add alternative asset classes and hedging strategies in order to ride out a world that is clearly rotating to new and different economic drivers. Also on the show, Phil Korenman, head of individual investors for T. Rowe Price, discusses the extra footnote the firm has put onto big one-year returns numbers telling investors just how unique the last 12 months have been, David Trainer of New Constructs puts another mem stock and retailer into the Danger Zone, and Eric Marshall of the Hodges Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.
61 minutes | 5 days ago
RiverNorth's Galley on how the pandemic fueled the boom in SPACs
Patrick Galley, chief executive and chief investment officer at RiverNorth Capital Management and the RiverNorth Funds, does two interviews on today's show, one focused on closed-end funds -- which he believes represent a strong value in today's marketplace and which could be the way that investors changing their bond allocations look to goose returns -- and the other mostly on special-purpose acquisition companies, SPACs. He says that while SPACs have been the rage in the last year, the boom was pushed ahead by the pandemic, where the heads of private companies were looking for fast, efficient ways to go public in uncertain times, and he thinks SPAC activity will calm down -- but not go away -- as the pandemic recedes. Also on the show, Davis Martin of the SPY Trade of the Day talks technicals and how the market is mostly giving green lights right now, and Drew Horter of Tactical Fund Advisors discusses exchange-traded funds and tactical investing in the Market Call.
58 minutes | 6 days ago
Madoff's dead, but lessons he taught us may live on forever
Diana Henriques, author of 'The Wizard of Lies: Bernie Madoff and the Death of Trust,' discusses the death of the man who was behind the world's largest investment fraud and the lessons that will forever be attached to his disgraced name. Henriques -- who corresponded with Madoff in prison up until 2017 -- gives her take on whetehr Madoff had any remorse for his crimes, whether he ever came clean about just what happened and why and more. Also on the show, Bruce Monrad of Northeast Investors Trust discusses fixed income and high-yield investments in a market environment with rates and inflation just hinting that they will be on the rise soon, and Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a small-cap value and momentum fund his ETF of the Week.
60 minutes | 7 days ago
Commonwealth's McMillan: 'We're getting to the edge of the woods here'
Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network, says the economy and stock market aren't completely out of the woods of the pandemic, but we can see the sunlight from here.He says the market has been backing and filling as stocks react to the lingering coronavirus news but also start to price in the reopening and the economic boost to come. Also on the show, Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment Research highlights a stock that has gotten a huge boost from the pandemic, but which he thinks will continue to grow impressively once normal life returns, Chuck answers an audience member's question on bond investing, and Jane Edmondson of EQM Indexes talks about lithium and battery-related stocks in the Market Call.
60 minutes | 8 days ago
DoubleLine's Checcone: Value is poised to outgain growth, by a lot
Emidio Checcone, co-manager of the DoubleLine Equity Value Strategy, says that the recent value surge is just the start of what should be a long run where the value investment staples dramatically outperforms growth. Checcone notes that at the end of 2019, value was lagging growth by record margins, and that differential grew bigger by 35 percent in 2020 as the stock market took off. Now, Checcone sees value as bouncing back and notes that the recent outperformance by value -- which beat growth by 10 points in the first quarter and is up by about 7 points year to date -- seems 'pretty meager' compared to what he expects for months and years ahead. In the Market Call, Tucker Walsh of the Polen U.S. Small Company Growth Fund explains his firm's flywheel framework for finding stocks with outsized potential for gains. And Chuck starts the show by answering three questions from audience members.
60 minutes | 9 days ago
Payden's Cleveland: 'The party is still going, the punch bowl is being refilled'
Jeffrey Cleveland, chief economist for Payden and Rygel, says he expects the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive and accommodative monetary policies through this year and potentially all the way to 2023, and he notes that whenever there is strong earnings growth with an accommodative Fed -- like we have right now -- tend to be good years for the market. Also on the show, Howard Gold of MarketWatch.com discusses his recent column suggesting that investors will mostly want to remain invested in domestic stocks, David Trainer makes AMC Entertainment the latest in his breakdown of meme stocks that he finds particularly dangerous, and Chuck answers an audience-member's question about allocating assets in a college-savings program.
60 minutes | 12 days ago
TrendStar's Turner: Market is having 'a beautiful party without many people here'
Technical analyst Toni Turner of TrendStar Group says she is worried that the market has gotten back to record highs but that it has done it on low volume, noting 'when you get this quiet feeling' where everything seems perfect, almost any bad news could be a catalyst to drive the market back to support levels. In the Big Interview, John Johnson of Edgeworth Economics talks about how hard it is to size up the coming economic recovery and to determine which sectors and industry might lag behind as the economy lurches forward. In The NAVigator segment, Keith Ashton of Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund talks about collateralized loan obligations and other alternative credit types that can improve yields while balancing risks, and in the Market Call, it's Mark Sebastian of Karman Line Capital and OptionPit.com talking stocks.
59 minutes | 13 days ago
U.S. Global's Holmes: 'Acceleration of inflation is baked into the system'
Frank Holmes, chief investment officer at U.S. Global Investors, says that inflation should be a key concern right now for investors and says that it is unavoidable given economic conditions, the massive government stimulus around the globe and more, but he doesn't think that inflation will derail the stock market because there will be strong economic growth for at least six months that will keep markets rolling. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com looks at net lease real estate investments with his 'ETF of the Week,' and Marketwatch columnist Brett Arends discusses how investors are living in a cycle where domestic stocks are popular because they are hot and hot because they are popular. In the Market Call, Simon Lack of SL Advisors talks energy and pipeline stocks.
60 minutes | 14 days ago
JOHCM's Caputo: Prepare for inflation now, before it's too late
Giorgio Caputo, head of multi-asset strategies for J.O. Hambro Capital Management, doesn't expect a huge jump in inflation, but he warns that anyone waiting for proof-positive of inflation, there's a good chance that their bonds will be underwater before they decide how to react. Thus, it is time today to create resilient portfolios that can manage through the risk, which he says means rotating to areas of the market that can benefit from a rising-rate and rising-inflation environment. Also on the show, Brian Dress of Left Brain investment Research discusses tax-collection/compliance firm Avalara and why he thinks it is a long-term builder of wealth, Ed Carson of Investor's Business Daily discusses another big jump in monthly investor optimism levels, and Jeff Auxier, manager of the Auxier Focus Fund talks value investing in the Market Call.
59 minutes | 15 days ago
Cresset's Ablin: Expect a lumpy recovery, mostly led by the U.S.
Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital Management, says investors should expect big economic growth numbers in the second and third quarters -- fueled by the release of pent-up demand plus inflation pressures -- but notes that nominal GDP growth of roughly 10 percent in those quarters will be in the United States and not around the world, leading to what he called a 'lumpy recovery,' mostly driven by the domestic action. In the Market Call, Manny Weintraub of Spears Abacus talks about 'growth at a reasonable price,' or as he prefers to call it 'super great stocks that are not going to kill you.' And Chuck answers an audience question about the 60-40 portfolio and about changing asset allocations.
61 minutes | 16 days ago
Ibbotson: Trim your long-term market expectations by 20 percent
Legendary stock market observer Roger Ibbotson -- whose landmark research is the basis for most people believing that large-cap stocks deliver 10 percent per year -- has said for years now that investors should not expect the future to stand up to the past. The chairman of Zebra Capital Management says in The Big Interview that low interest rates and other conditions will make it that the market is more likely to deliver about 8 percent on average over the next quarter century, still good but a significant drop off that must be planned for. Also on the show, Matt Schulz talks about a MagnifyMoney.com survey on how much Americans have been selling things out of their home -- and how much they have been making -- during the pandemic, David Trainer revisits GameStop -- which he liked prior to when it became a meme stock -- in the Danger Zone, and Mark Rank talks about his recent book, 'Poorly Understood: What America Gets Wrong About Poverty.'
60 minutes | 19 days ago
BMO's Kimball: 'Risk hasn't gone away' from the bond markets
Scott Kimball, portfolio manager of the BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund, says that there are some warning signs that the fixed-income market could be headed for trouble, including negative repurchase agreement rates between banks, which if they last long enough turn into 'an anvil dangling over credit markets' heads' and could lead to severe consequences in a matter of months. Also on the show, Michael Naughton of Lord, Abbett discusses the benefits of taking liquidity risk as a means of increasing yield, and how interval funds can help in that effort, Charles Rotblut of the American Association of Individual Investors discusses the current wave of optimism among investors, showing up in both bullish sentiment and in the heavy percentage of their assets being put into stocks, and Bill Kornitzer of the Aperture International Equity Fund talks international stocks in the Market Call.
60 minutes | 20 days ago
Natixis' Janasiewicz: Rolling corrections for tech/growth are actually a positive
Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio strategist for Natixis Investment Managers, says that over the last three months you have seen a rolling correction in technology and growth stocks, which has also expanded into energy, and most recently into small-caps. All have had draw-downs of more than 10 percent, but he says that other sectors have held up the market and are a good sign that the market can keep pushing forward strongly from here. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com goes all the way to Egypt and the Suez Canal to find inspiration for his ETF of the Week, David Botset discusses the way that investors view and use exchange-traded funds as measured by the 10th edition of Charles Schwab's ETF Investor Study, and Han Smith of The Haverford Trust Co. talks large-cap stocks in the Market Call.
59 minutes | 21 days ago
Michael Falk gives his steps for building a lifetime portfolio
Michael Falk of Focus Consulting Group -- who joins Chuck every three months to discuss the market, investing and his personal battle with Lou Gehrig's Disease -- talks about how he would set up a portfolio that his family (and yours) could live with forever, discusses why the classic 60-40 portfolio will disappoint investors and much more in an extended Big Interview. Also on the show, Alan McKnight, chief investment officer at Regions Asset Management, gives his take on markets, interest rates, inflation and more and, in the Left Brain thinking segment, Freddy Garcia of Left Brain Wealth Management discusses how the firm's value statement is so essential to picking and managing portfolios of growth stocks.
59 minutes | 22 days ago
ICON's Callahan says market is 5 percent undervalued
Craig Callahan, chief executive officer at ICON Advisers, says that the broad market is trading roughly five percent below its fair value, which is a good target for returns over the rest of the year. Callahan is excited by the earnings forecasts for 2021 and 2022, citing 'outrageous year-over-year growth rates' as a reason to believe there will be good value stocks to be had. Also on the show, David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com, says that 3700 is a 'line in the sand' for the Standard and Poor's 500 Index, noting that if the market can remain above that level it should be able to avoid a significant downturn during the current rotation from a technology and large-cap driven market to one led by small-caps and value stocks; Greg McBride of BankRate.com discusses the high percentage of investors who believe the stock market is rigged, and Mike Bailey of FBB Capital Partners talks stocks in the Market Call.
60 minutes | 23 days ago
New Frontier's Michaud: The 60/40 portfolio still works, but differently
Robert Michaud, chief investment officer at New Frontier Advisors, says that reports on the death of the classic 60 percent stocks/40 percent bonds portfolio are greatly exaggerated, although he notes that the types of stocks and bonds that make up each part of the allocation are changing to keep pace with lower-for-longer interest rates and the changing stock market picture. Also on the show, David Trainer of NewConstructs.com takes on another company that has been getting a lot of pre-IPO buzz in the Danger Zone, Melanie Lieberman of ThePointsGuy.com discusses what many consumers want to see before they travel in a post-pandemic world, and Lamar Villere of the Villere Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.
61 minutes | a month ago
New opportunities like in sector rotation and economic expansion
Kevin Mahn, president and chief investment officer at Hennion and Walsh, says that valuations are stretched and growth could be hard to find, but a new period of economic expansion coupled with a shift in market leadership -- with small caps and more coming to the fore -- will create new investment leaders for investors to pursue. He sees the rebound from coronavirus leading into a multi-year economic expansion. continuing for several years. Also on the show, Adam Grimes of MarketLife Trading and Talon Advisors says that there are few troubling technical signals suggesting any reason to lose confidence in the current bull market, which he also expects to be a multi-year move. In The NAVigator segment, Craig Packer of Owl Rock Capital talks about business-development companies and how the BDC loan market has been impacted by the pandemic, and Ryan Jacob of the Jacob Funds talks technology stocks in the Market Call.
59 minutes | a month ago
Bitcoin as 'digital gold,' and its role in an average portfolio
Two wide-ranging and very different Big Interviews both touch on bitcoin today with Giles Coghlan, chief currency analyst for HYCM, talking about how the skyrocketing price of bitcoin has impacted gold, how the cryptocurrency is increasingly viewed as a digital substitute for physical gold and the correlation between the two, especially with inflation on the horizon. Meanwhile, Scott Knapp, chief market strategist for CUNA Mutual Group, talks about how investors should be reacting to current market rotation, but also discusses where bitcoin can and should fit into the portfolio of working-class savers who are long-term investors rather than speculators. Also, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com heads to Japan for smaller companies and greater diversification with his 'ETF of the Week.'
61 minutes | a month ago
'Value stocks are kind of like toilet paper... ' meaning, at times, really precious
Noted value manager Abhay Deshpande of Centerstone Investors actually compares value stocks to toilet paper, noting that you might not be thinking much about them when market growth is humming along, but at other times they become really precious. Right now, Deshpande says, there are plenty of good values to be found in the market, so long as you are mostly willing to avoid the technology stocks. Also on the show, Janice Quek of Left Brain Investment Research discusses Skillz Inc. as a high-growths tock that won't look quite right until it generates profits, Melissa Ridolfi of Fidelity Inc. talks about the firm's research on how retirement investors believe the pandemic has impacted their long-term savings, and Martin Leclerc of Barrack Yard Advisors talks stocks in the Market Call.
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