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52 minutes | 3 days ago
Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy
Three weeks after the election, President Trump is still refusing to concede and making attempts to subvert the results of the election. The team discusses the extent to which these anti-democratic efforts have been successful and what precedent they set going forward. They also consider the politics surrounding the current surge in coronavirus cases and ask what pollsters should do about falling response rates.
33 minutes | 7 days ago
Will Georgia Stay Blue?
Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Greg Bluestein of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution to understand the trends that flipped Georgia blue and how durable they are.
47 minutes | 10 days ago
What Divided The Electorate In 2020
The crew explores the demographic and geographic trends that divided the nation in 2020. They also ask how President Trump's refusal to concede the election will affect the nation.
46 minutes | 14 days ago
Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad
In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss why a polling error of even four points isn't that unexpected, offer reasons for why the error occurred and discuss the usefulness of polling and modeling going forward.
45 minutes | 17 days ago
Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand
The crew reviews who is leading in the outstanding races and how the two parties are reacting to the results. They also discuss what positive vaccine news could mean for Biden's first term.
34 minutes | 19 days ago
Biden Is Set To Be The Next President
The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election.
28 minutes | 21 days ago
Biden Could Soon Win Pennsylvania … And The Presidency
As votes continue to be counted in five key battleground states, and as Biden's margins continue to improve, it looks very likely that the presidential race will eventually be called for Biden. In this installment of the podcast, the crew shares an update on where votes are still coming in and what to make of the overall results at this point.
34 minutes | 22 days ago
Biden's Path To Victory Is Looking Clearer
After our colleagues at ABC News projected Joe Biden as the winner in Michigan, the former vice president's path to victory is looking clearer. In this installment of the podcast, the crew discusses the results so far, what's left to come in, and some of the trends in the data. They also begin to answer questions about polling errors in the 2020 election.
16 minutes | 23 days ago
The Election Isn't Over
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast reacts to the results so far on election night 2020.
56 minutes | 24 days ago
Final Reflections Before The Election
In the final pre-election installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a final look at the data, reflects on the stories that have defined the 2020 campaign and shares their guide of what to follow on election night.
30 minutes | 25 days ago
What The Deluge Of Final Polls Can Tell Us
Many pollsters released their final polls of the 2020 election over the weekend. In this installment of the podcast, the crew analyzes what the recent data tells us about the state of the race in its final days.
22 minutes | a month ago
How To Vote Safely In A Pandemic
Our colleagues at PODCAST-19 look at the precautions states have taken to make sure people can vote safely during the coronavirus pandemic. Make sure to subscribe to PODCAST-19 wherever you get your podcasts.
42 minutes | a month ago
Model Talk: There Still Isn't Evidence Of 'Shy' Trump Voters
This is the final(!) pre-election installment of "Model Talk." Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the latest polling has shifted in some of the key battleground states. They also address whether there is any reason to believe that "shy Trump voters" could provide the president with an upset win on Election Day. (The evidence suggests there isn't.)
42 minutes | a month ago
The Under-Covered Stories Of The 2020 Election
There are only five days remaining until Election Day and former Vice President Joe Biden currently has a 89 percent chance of winning, according to our forecast. In this installment of the podcast, the crew discusses the state of the race and also considers which important stories have been under-covered by the press during the 2020 campaign.
48 minutes | a month ago
How We Expect The Electorate To Look In 2020
In this installment of the podcast, the crew takes a closer look at who exactly is voting and how their preferences have changed or stayed the same compared with four years ago.
34 minutes | a month ago
How The Media Projects The Winner Of An Election
Galen Druke speaks with the Executive Director of Elections at ABC News, Dan Merkle, who oversees the network's Decision Desk. Merkle explains how ABC News will go about projecting the winner of individual states and the overall presidential race, as well as when we might be able to expect those projections.
49 minutes | a month ago
October Surprises Don't Usually Decide Elections
The crew discusses this year's October surprises and the likelihood that a late development could shake up the race for president.
49 minutes | a month ago
Model Talk: National And District-Level Polls Disagree
In this installment of Model Talk, Nate and Galen discuss why national, state and district-level polls are showing different levels of competitiveness in the 2020 election. They also answer listener questions.
35 minutes | a month ago
The Second Debate Is Over And The Final Stage Of The Campaign Is Here
The crew reacts to the second and final presidential debate of the 2020 campaign.
43 minutes | a month ago
How Voting Is Going So Far
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich join the podcast to discuss how voting laws and procedures have changed ahead of the 2020 vote and how they are being litigated.
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