26 minutes | Jul 20, 2021

Fantasy Files: Running backs projected for more volume than their ADP indicates

Host Ian Hartitz goes through a volume study in order to identify some of fantasy football's best values at running back. First Ian points out how historically basically any running back averaging 15 touches per game has been good to great for fantasy business. The only exceptions have been early-down plodders without a pass-game role, so Ian engineers a special expected projected fantasy opportunity formula that accounts for the difference in expected fantasy points on targets compared to rush attempts. Ian then takes these ranks and cross compares them with each running back's average draft position to determine who is overvalued and undervalued relative to their projected volume. More early-down running backs pop as players that will need to be awfully efficient in order to meet expectations, but Ian ultimately comes away with 10 running backs that sure look a lot like values where they're presently being priced. These players include: D'Andre Swift, Joe Mixon, Tevin Coleman and more.


Which 1st round backs might have a problem with their touches? (5:30) RBs ranked too high based on probable touches (8:55) 10 RBs what will have the ball enough (12:24)

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