In this episode of American Wonk, Avik Roy returns to the topic of the 2016 election with the guy who had it all figured out before anyone else: Sean Trende the Senior Elections Analyst at RealClearPolitics and author of The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It. Sean also co-authored the 2014 edition of the Almanac of American Politics. Sean discusses his controversial articles from four and three years ago: “The Case of the Missing White Voters,” and “The Case of the Missing White Voters, Revisited,” in which Sean noted that 6 to 7 million white voters who voted in 2008 didn’t show up in 2012. Most notably, those voters weren’t classic conservative voters, but rather blue-collar whites without college degrees in Rust Belt states like Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. At the time, Sean’s argument was attacked by many on the left, such as Richard Kim of The Nation for being “insidious…because it comes wrapped in the cool logic of charts lacking explicit racial animus.” But November’s results have vindicated Sean’s thesis. On the podcast, Sean explores what Donald Trump’s victory means for the future of the Republican and Democratic coalitions, and the challenges Trump will have in keeping conservatives and Rust Belt voters in the same camp.